Just wanted to see what would happen as I tracked all this. I started by joining a 3 Star TDM match with 11 players, and then I stayed in that lobby for the next couple hours. I never left a match (till the end), and never left the lobby. I wrote down the highest MMR at the start of the match (using "srd"), and also how many mechs started the match when MM was sorting. Sometimes I also wrote the top score for each team. Here are the results.
Match 1 - 1600 MMR - Final Score 31/32
Match 2 - 11 Mechs Start - 1600 MMR - 28/34
Match 3 - 7 Start - 1650 MMR - 38/20 - Top Scores 402/146 (I suspected a smurf in this match, but he left at the end)
Match 4 - 10 Start - 1650 MMR - 40/14 - Scores of 480/199 (Worst match of the night. The smurf was a rank one Berzerker with 15 kills and 0 deaths. Left after the battle.)
Match 5 - 11 Start - 2150 MMR - 36/15 - (The enemy Scout was the 2150 player, and their team also had a Technician. Scout left after the match.)
Match 6 - 10 Start - 1600 MMR - 27/23 (Winning team had a Technician)
Match 7 - 9 Start - 1600 MMR - 16/12 (Winning team had a Technician)
Match 8 - 9 Start - 1700 MMR - 40/24 - Scores of 483/214
Match 9 - 7 Start - 1700 MMR - 40/30 (This match had tons of players on the losing team dropping out and being replaced)
Match 10 - 7 Start - 1700 MMR - 28/10 - Scores of 561/183 (A suspected smurf from earlier in the night returned, and was reinforced with a Technician. Smurf left after the match.)
Match 11 - 8 Start (then 1 immediately drops) - 1750 MMR - 27/26 - Scores of 277/228
Match 12 - 7 Start - 1600 MMR - 40/32 - Scores of 256/233
Match 13 - 8 Start - 1600 MMR - 34/22 - Scores of 272/209
Match 14 - 9 Start - 1600 MMR - 29/24 - Scores of 203/257
Match 15 - 9 Start (then 2 on the same team immed drop) - 1600 MMR - 18/17 - Scores of 265/221
Match 16 - 9 Start - 1650 MMR - 24/13 - Scores of 217/129
On the whole I guess I can't really complain. I had more close matches than blowouts. It certainly could have been a lot worse. The smurf appearances DID ruin those matches, as did the 2150 MMR player, and I personally think the Technicians skewed things too. But in fairness the smurfs and great player(s) left after one match. I actually got 1st place in 2 matches (1 win, 1 loss), and my MMR crossed 1600 (barely).
Anyway, just thought I'd throw this hard data "out there" to see how it compares to the matches other people are generally getting.
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